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Cynical. [20050930|18:32]
Mad Scientess Jane Expat
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The Irish Republican Army has decommissioned its arsenal.

All of it.

So why don't I have any confidence that this will end the sectarian violence in Northern Ireland? Gee, do you think it could have anything to do with the loyalist paramilitaries failing to disarm simultaneously? Or perhaps that the Provisional IRA has disarmed, but certain factions *coughRealIRAcough* probably haven't? Or that the disarmament process wasn't fully transparent (no photos of the decommissioning)?
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Comments:
[User Picture]From: smallfurry
2005-09-30 18:49 (UTC)
at least you're cynical. i feel totally naive. I was watching the Israeli pullout over the past few weeks and thinking, "Hey, maybe there's hope for peace." Then this week, watching the news to realize "Oh, now they can just shoot them randomly without fear of hitting settlers."

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[User Picture]From: nanila
2005-09-30 20:39 (UTC)
Yeah, I remember reading an article in which a Jewish settler participating in a peaceful demonstration with the Palestinians made a comment similar to your last sentence. He said something like, "It's very important that we are here. Otherwise many more people would be killed."
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[User Picture]From: nanila
2005-09-30 20:41 (UTC)
Dude, surface-to-air missiles. WTF.
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[User Picture]From: bellelaqueen
2005-10-01 09:13 (UTC)
Yeah, I'm a little cautious with this no-evidence thing. In my opinion all they've really done is outsource. I'd like to be optimistic, but, I'm waiting for the fat lady I guess.
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[User Picture]From: nanila
2005-10-01 13:25 (UTC)
I find it difficult to be optimistic when there are so many splinter groups who haven't disarmed, and when the paramilitaries on the "other" side still have an arsenal of unknown proportions and have demonstrated a willingness to fire at the British Army. There's still so little trust on both sides that I don't expect anything besides simultaneous decommissioning to ever really work.
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[User Picture]From: nimoloth
2005-10-01 11:30 (UTC)
They really freaked out when asked for pictures! If they have nothing to hide, why are they afraid?
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[User Picture]From: nanila
2005-10-01 13:27 (UTC)
Another factor to consider is that, even putting aside the existence of the rIRA, the pIRA itself may not even know whether all of its arms have been decommissioned. From the article:

"[Gen de Chastelain] said that it was likely that given the age of some of the weaponry, and the condition in which it was presented to his team, it was entirely possible that the IRA itself no longer knew exactly what arms it had been keeping."
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